Historiani Allan Lichtman, i cili ka parashikuar sakt\u00ebsisht n\u00ebnt\u00eb nga dhjet\u00eb zgjedhjet e fundit presidenciale, tha se ende beson se Kamala Harris do t\u00eb mund\u00eb Donald Trump, por k\u00ebt\u00eb vit ndihet nervoz p\u00ebr parashikimim.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\u201cKam b\u00ebr\u00eb k\u00ebt\u00eb p\u00ebr 42 vjet dhe \u00e7do kat\u00ebr vjet kam flutura n\u00eb stomak, por k\u00ebt\u00eb vit, mendoj se kam nj\u00eb grumbull korbash n\u00eb vend t\u00eb fluturave.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Lichtman theksoi se sondazhet q\u00eb tregojn\u00eb nj\u00eb gar\u00eb t\u00eb ngusht\u00eb mes kandidat\u00ebve n\u00eb shtetet ky\u00e7e nuk e shqet\u00ebsojn\u00eb. Ai beson n\u00eb sistemin e tij t\u00eb quajtur \u201c13 \u00c7el\u00ebsat p\u00ebr Sht\u00ebpin\u00eb e Bardh\u00eb\u201d dhe ende mendon se Harris do t\u00eb b\u00ebhet presidentja e ardhshme.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Kush \u00ebsht\u00eb Allan Lichtman?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n Para se t\u00eb merrte titullin \u201cProfesor i Nderuar\u201d n\u00eb Universitetin Amerikan n\u00eb \u00cbashington, D.C., Lichtman, 77 vje\u00e7, fitoi nj\u00eb doktoratur\u00eb n\u00eb historin\u00eb moderne amerikane dhe metodat sasiore n\u00eb Harvard.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Ai \u00ebsht\u00eb m\u00eb i njohur p\u00ebr krijimin e sistemit t\u00eb parashikimit presidencial q\u00eb p\u00ebrdor tremb\u00ebdhjet\u00eb deklarata t\u00eb v\u00ebrteta ose t\u00eb gabuara. Kur pes\u00eb ose m\u00eb pak jan\u00eb t\u00eb gabuara, pritet q\u00eb kandidati i partis\u00eb n\u00eb pushtet t\u00eb fitoj\u00eb; kur gjasht\u00eb ose m\u00eb shum\u00eb jan\u00eb t\u00eb gabuara, pritet q\u00eb partia sfiduese t\u00eb fitoj\u00eb. K\u00ebt\u00eb vit, Lichtman tha se t\u00eb pakt\u00ebn tet\u00eb nga \u00e7el\u00ebsat favorizojn\u00eb Harris.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Duke p\u00ebrdorur k\u00ebt\u00eb sistem, ai ka parashikuar sakt\u00ebsisht rezultatin e \u00e7do zgjedhjeje q\u00eb nga viti 1984, p\u00ebrve\u00e7 gar\u00ebs s\u00eb ngusht\u00eb n\u00eb vitin 2000, ku republikan\u00ebt George \u00cb. Bush mposht\u00ebn demokratin Al Gore.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Historiani Allan Lichtman, i cili ka parashikuar sakt\u00ebsisht n\u00ebnt\u00eb nga dhjet\u00eb zgjedhjet e fundit presidenciale, tha se ende beson se Kamala Harris do t\u00eb mund\u00eb Donald Trump, por k\u00ebt\u00eb vit ndihet nervoz p\u00ebr parashikimim. \u201cKam b\u00ebr\u00eb k\u00ebt\u00eb p\u00ebr 42 vjet dhe \u00e7do kat\u00ebr vjet kam flutura n\u00eb stomak, por k\u00ebt\u00eb vit, mendoj se kam nj\u00eb […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":9773,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[41],"tags":[],"class_list":{"0":"post-9772","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-lajme"},"yoast_head":"\n